The Divine Fallacy: When People Assume that ‘God’ is the Only Explanation

  The divine fallacy is a logical fallacy which occurs when someone assumes that a certain phenomenon must occur as a result of divine intervention or a supernatural force, either because they don’t know how to explain it otherwise, or because they can’t imagine that this isn’t the case. For example, if someone doesn’t understand how …

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The Gambler’s Fallacy: On the Danger of Misunderstanding Simple Probabilities

  The gambler’s fallacy is the mistaken belief that past events can influence future events that are entirely independent of them in reality. For example, the gambler’s fallacy might cause someone to believe that if a coin just landed on heads twice in a row, then it’s “due” to land on tails on the next toss. Accordingly, …

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